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Month: September 2006

MySpace Worth $15 Billion?

Posted on September 28, 2006

Myspace_19CNN MONEY — Sep 28 — A Wall Street analyst assesses MySpace could be worth $15 billion in the next three years. MySpace video ads currently run $35 CPM, which would bring in plenty if the vast majority of MySpace pages viewed had video ads and not 50c CPM "swat the mosquito" banner ads.

The full article was originally published at Valleywag, but is no longer available.

Mark Brooks: YouTube and FaceBook are looking at $1 billion+ valuations right now so it's not too hard to extrapolate MySpace valuation out a few years at the $10 billion+ range assuming consistent growth rates. Crazy days. No wonder everyone and their uncle are starting social networks. (btw, flash based, next generation social network Mooble is for sale for a song. Email me at mark@courtlandbrooks.com if interested).

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Comscore’s Canadian Internet Dating Rankings

Posted on September 28, 2006

Comscore_3 OPW — Sep 28 — The Canadian internet dating rankings are now in. Both Lavalife and PlentyofFish edge out further against their competition. Canoe ReseauContact and Mate1 move one spot to #3 and #4 as Spark reduces it's traffic and relegates to the #5 spot.  NETCLUB.FR and Yahoo Personals move up one spot in a similar fashion. LoveHappens reduces it's traffic and relegates itself down from #6 to #9. Match grows a little stronger and moves up into 10th spot. 

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Mobile Dating Sucks

Posted on September 28, 2006

THE PARADIGM SHIFT — Sep 28 — At the European iDate lots of companies where trying to sell mobile dating, but every owner I talked to said they thought mobile dating was a joke and would never amount to much. The basic problem is that there is no such thing as mobile dating. Sure you can put up profiles and make it look like a dating site but no one actually uses it. People who use "mobile dating" are mostly under the age of 24 and are looking to chat with others. Mobile dating as it stands today is nothing more then a chat line, and most of the  mobile "dating" users don't even have computers. Online daters are age 30 to 40 and looking for longer messages and serious conversations. Mobile daters are mostly looking to kill time and to chat for entertainment. When trying to create a mobile dating site your existing brand is meaningless, the only thing that matters is being on deck at a carrier as it is the only way to get users. It is strange that all these mobile companies are pitching mobile dating as an extension of online dating. They all know full well and admit in private that "mobile dating" and online dating are completely different markets with different demographics that don't overlap.

The full article was originally published at The Paradigm Shift, but is no longer available.

Mark Brooks: Markus cuts to the chase once more. That's the situation right now. The moneymakers are flirty chat applications, but that's because the mobile dating apps suck and are below critical mass. But, it's going to change. Mobile dating will eventually overtake internet dating. Why?  Because mobile computing will eventually overtake fixed computer (PC/laptop) usage. Laptops will morph into palmtops and be unified with cell phones and mp3 players (time to invest in Apple 😉 ). I'm talking ten years out, but I see this as inevitable. Keyboardless voice activated sexy (a la Apple) palmtops will make mobile computing more compelling. Location based services and video dating will make mobile dating more compelling. A couple of mobile enabler services are working on video dating right now. Your comments please.

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Will Microsoft’s Spin-off Pack a Wallop?

Posted on September 28, 2006

WallopBUSINESS WEEK — Sep 27 — Wallop was unveiled Sept. 26. It was spun off from Microsoft a year ago and has been in the works a full four years. Wallop looks more like a desktop than a Web page, and it's entirely based on Flash. Instead of listing friends, the site has a radar-like graphic that plots your connections based on how frequently you interact with a person. Wallop doesn't make money by selling ads. It collects small payments for clever, animated applications called "mods." For a fee of, say, 10 cents, you can get a cartoon of an angry bunny created by an independent Flash designer to jump around your page. The key isn't simply amassing users, but getting "cool" people to come to Wallop.  Everyone will want to be where the cool people are. The site is invitation-only now, and each person only gets a few invites to dole out. Wallop will be doing some grassroots promotions in cities including Los Angeles and New York to woo trendsetters.

The full article was originally published at Business Week, but is no longer available.

Mark Brooks: Brilliant! They were wise to ditch the Microsoft pedigree. It wouldn't quite work for viral activation amongst the student population. (Microsoft is still kinda evil, compared with the likes of do good Google). South Korea's Cyworld has made a mint of graphical charms and mods. Will this concept convert to a Western audience. I think so. I worked on all-flash Mooble earlier this year. They are looking for more money to execute the plan I laid out. Namely, chase down Facebook. (Email trevorcoyne@ireland.com if interested)

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Facebook’s For Everyone

Posted on September 27, 2006

Facebooklogo_4CNET NEWS — Sep 27 — As the site considers a hefty buyout by Yahoo and eyes new competitors in the college space, this week it joins the likes of Friendster and MySpace in losing the exclusivity that fed its popularity.

The full article was originally published at CNet News, but is no longer available.

Mark Brooks: I'm on Facebook now. Feel free to link up. Facebook has surely been eyeing MySpace's userbase for a long while. This is the next logical (short term sell the company) step for them. They need to continue showing exponential growth rates for the buyout. Makes sense, but undermines their integrity/focus/branding. They have to stay ahead technologically now, or they WILL lose their student base to other sites as they seek out the next great underground superhip next generation social network. Students will use more than one network, and might eventually shift their loyalty and focus if a site opens up and is significantly technologically ahead of Facebook.

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Check Mate

Posted on September 27, 2006

Fingers20crossed202NY POST  — Sep 27 — “The guys that women meet on dating sites, at least 50 percent of the time they are lying,” says New York private investigator Skipp Porteous. Sherlock Investigations offers a comprehensive check for $500. Intelius just started a major scare-tactic ad campaign which includes one TV commercial where a woman is blissfully unaware she is about to go on a date with a violent sex offender. If only she knew, the ad seems to say, she could buy a $50 criminal background check online. Dating guru Liz H. Kelly, author of Smart Man Hunting, advises using a secondary e-mail address, never giving out more than a cellphone number and always meeting in a public place. When Truedater users were polled recently, the #1 gripe cited about online daters was with lying about physical appearance, #2 was marital status and #3 was age.

The full article was originally published at NY Post, but is no longer available.

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Piczo European push

Posted on September 27, 2006

Mt_piczo_logo_blueNETIMPERATIVE — Sep 27 — Piczo’s traffic has grown 393% in one year (comScore Mediametrix) and now boasts 4 million unique visitors in the UK, reaching 60% of the young teen demographic in the UK.

Mark Brooks: I don't see Piczo in the press much, but they have done a great job of targetting too-young-for-MySpace users.

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Web Publishers Question Accuracy of Metrics Firms

Posted on September 27, 2006

MetricsMARKETING VOX — Sep 26 — The Interactive Advertising Bureau is pressuring the third-party metrics firms to improve the accuracy of traffic data reports. Major websites such as MSNBC.com claim the traffic data it collects varies by as much as 30% from the data reported by metric firms. Several top publishers are reporting that the gap is widening between internal traffic data and Nielsen//NetRatings and comScore Media Metrix data. These complaints are intensifying just as both firms prepare to undergo long-awaited Media Rating Council-led audits. Some favor a combination of third-party and self-reporting from sites, with which Nielsen is already experimenting.

The full article was originally published at Marketing Vox, but is no longer available.

Mark Brooks: In 2003 I compared FriendFinder September 2003 uniques as reported by comScore and Nielsen//NetRatings. They were nearly an order of magnitude apart. The numbers and panel sizes have improved very significantly. Hopefully Nielsen's parity checking system will help. So, which internet dating sites will step up to the mark and share their internal numbers first? It would be great to report more accurate industry numbers. Fyi, I list Nielsen//Netratings, comScore Mediamatrix and Hitwise online personals site rankings in the left bar each month (by special courtesy).

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Cingular and YouTube Promote Battle of the Bands

Posted on September 27, 2006

Logo_youtube_5MARKETING VOX — Sep 25 — Cingular has teamed up with YouTube for an online promotion allowing independent musicians to submit videos that the YouTube community can then vote for. The four winning bands will appear on Good Morning America and receive airtime on Sirius.

The full article was originally published at Marketing Vox, but is no longer available.

Mark Brooks: This is a marketing and PR double whammy.  Great idea.

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Dr Phil Covering Dating Scams on Tomorrows Show

Posted on September 27, 2006

Dr_philOPW — Sep 27 — Set your Tivo. This could be interesting. Dr Phil is covering 'love scams' tomorrow (Thursday). "Dee-Dee thinks her online boyfriend will repay the money he owes and marry her when he returns from Nigeria. And, Annette is "in love with the idea" of her Internet flame, but does he actually exist?" 

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